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Daily Archives: November 12, 2016
When you’re going in it’s an entrance
When you’re going out it’s an exit.
Yet it is a door…
Birthday of Sun Yat-sen
Sun Yat-sen (1866-1925) was the leader of the Chinese Nationalist Party (Kuomintang). He served as the first provisional president of the Republic of China (1911-12) and later as its de facto ruler (1923-25). Because he possessed an exceptionally broad knowledge of the West and developed a grand plan for China’s industrialization, he is known as “the father of modern China.” Sun Yat-sen’s birthday is a holiday in Taiwan. The anniversary of his death, March 12, is observed as Arbor Day in Taiwan.: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.tfd.mobile.TfdSearch
Grace Kelly (1929)
Kelly was an American actress who gained critical and popular praise for her performances in High Noon and The Country Girl, for which she won an Academy Award. She also starred in three Alfred Hitchcock films but cut short her promising acting career in 1956 when she married Prince Rainier III, becoming Princess Grace of Monaco and retiring from acting. In 1982, she died in an accident after suffering a stroke while driving on a mountain road. How did she and Prince Rainier meet?: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.tfd.mobile.TfdSearch
This Day in History:Ramzi Yousef Found Guilty of Masterminding 1993 World Trade Center Bombing (1997)
This Day in History:
Ramzi Yousef Found Guilty of Masterminding 1993 World Trade Center Bombing (1997)
In 1993, terrorists detonated a car-bomb in an underground garage of the World Trade Center complex in New York City, killing six, injuring more than a thousand, and causing more than $300 million in damage. In all, ten militant Islamist conspirators were convicted of involvement in the bombing, including Yousef, who also bombed an important Shia shrine in Iran in 1994 and later planned a large-scale terrorist scheme that included killing the pope. What alleged 9-11 mastermind is Yousef’s uncle?: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.tfd.mobile.TfdSearch
Quote of the Day:
Hans Christian Andersen
It is the power of thought which gives man the mastery over nature.: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.tfd.mobile.TfdSearch
Article of the Day:
A polymath born in Persia around 980 CE, Avicenna was, among other things, an astronomer, chemist, mathematician, poet, and the foremost physician and philosopher of his time. The Canon of Medicine, one of his most famous works, remained a standard medical text at many Islamic and European universities until the 18th century. Called the “doctor of doctors,” Avicenna is regarded as the father of modern medicine. How old was Avicenna when he began studying medicine?: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.tfd.mobile.TfdSearch
Word of the Day:
Definition: (adjective) Persisting in an ingrained habit.
Synonyms: chronic, confirmed, habitual
Usage: He was an inveterate gambler, though a poor loser.: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.tfd.mobile.TfdSearch
Shadows are falling and I been here all day
It’s too hot to sleep and time is running away
Feel like my soul has turned into steel
I’ve still got the scars that the sun didn’t let me heal
There’s not even room enough to be anywhere
It’s not dark yet, but it’s getting there
Well my sense of humanity is going down the drain
Behind every beautiful thing, there’s been some kind of pain
She wrote me a letter and she wrote it so kind
She put down in writin’ what was in her mind
I just don’t see why I should even care
It’s not dark yet, but it’s getting there
Well I been to London and I been to gay Paree
I followed the river and I got to the sea
I’ve been down to the bottom of a whirlpool of lies
I ain’t lookin’ for nothin’ in anyone’s eyes
Sometimes my burden is more than I can bear
It’s not dark yet, but it’s getting there
I was born here and I’ll die here, against my will
I know it looks like I’m movin’ but I’m standin’ still
Every nerve in my body is so naked and numb
I can’t even remember what it was I came here to get away from
Don’t even hear the murmur of a prayer
It’s not dark yet, but it’s getting there
Songwriters: Bob Dylan
Not Dark Yet lyrics © Bob Dylan Music Co.
“Thirty Years Of Tears” lyrics
Rip Mr. Cohen: Watch “”A Thousand Kisses Deep” By Leonard Cohen – A Composite Presentation” on YouTube
How Hillary Clinton defied the odds to lose the presidency
With most pre-election polls having forecast a victory for Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, her loss to Donald Trump has sent shock waves across the US, notably in political and media circles that usually claim an inside track.
The Democrats’ loss came as a surprise to many, including those in Clinton’s inner circle. They had a solid candidate, a career public servant with decades of domestic and foreign policy experience. They ran a good campaign with a strong ground game that got millions of likely Democratic voters to the polls even before Election Day. Their opponent was divisive, blustery, gaffe-prone and had no experience of serving in government. The smart money, it seemed, was on Clinton.
But the Clinton campaign may have made a series of false assumptions that ultimately undermined her candidacy. Paul Begala, a chief strategist for Bill Clinton’s successful 1992 presidential bid, has said that most US political campaigns can be boiled down to two essential messages: “It’s time for a change” or “Let’s stay the course”. Hillary Clinton was running on the latter, on a continuation of the policies of US President Barack Obama. Obama’s approval rating recently hit 56%, uncommonly high for a second-term president. Most Americans are better off than they were when he took office eight years ago, when he helped the US economy begin its recovery from the 2008 financial crisis. And since then, his administration has presided over a record number of consecutive quarters of private-sector job growth.
The Democrats may have underestimated the social and economic discontent that persists across much of America, however. People in the Rust Belt states of Iowa, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania have seen jobs dry up as manufacturing moves overseas, often as a result of the very trade agreements that Democrats like Bill Clinton (who signed NAFTA in 1993) and Obama (who signed the TPP early this year) have touted as being good for the US economy as a whole. The economic troubles of some states preceded NAFTA, but many view the deal as having put another nail in the coffin of US manufacturing.
‘Core four’ and ‘undercover Trump voters’
The Trump camp recognised this Democratic weakness. In response, it focused on what it called Trump’s “core four” states – Florida, North Carolina and the Rust Belt states of Iowa and Ohio. In the end, Trump won almost all of the Rust Belt states. Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania had not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since the 1980s. Identifying these states as firmly in the Democratic column, Clinton made not one stop in Wisconsin during the campaign and only visited Detroit in the final days before the vote.
Ironically, Bill Clinton’s success in wresting the White House from an incumbent in 1992 was partly attributed to the fact that he understood the travails of middle-income Americans, bluntly summed up by one of his campaign slogans: “It’s the economy, stupid.”
Speaking to Fox News after the vote, Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway said that “undercover Trump voters” had helped deliver a victory to the Republican nominee. These supporters wanted to take the country in a “new and different direction”, she said. They viewed Clinton negatively and shared concerns over the decline of manufacturing jobs, theObamaCare premium increases forecast for next year and the threat posed by terrorism.
The Trump team also recognised that the pro-change candidacies of both Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump were tapping into deep public anger over what is seen by many as a “rigged” political system (which favours insiders like Clinton); a huge, well-publicised income gap; and fears over the economic future.
In this campaign environment, the “stay the course” candidate had her work cut out for her.
“Trump views Hillary Clinton as the personification of what’s rotten in Washington,” Trump’s former campaign mananger, Paul Manafort, told the Washington Post in May, soon after his candidate appeared poised to clinch the Republican nomination. “He really does make the connection between the rigged system, as he calls it, the corruption of Washington, the gridlock of Washington and the all-talk, no-action approach that Washington takes.”
“His point was that the opponent was more than just Hillary,” Manafort added. “She was the symbol.”
From ‘change’ to ‘progress’
But while Clinton may have chosen an uphill battle, the war was one she could have won. Obama’s message of hope and change could have been transformed into one of hope and progress, provided the Democrats outlined a clear vision of how much things had already improved and how they planned to turn that into new prosperity – particularly for those who couldn’t remember what prosperity looks like.
Updating this message was something her campaign arguably failed to do. Politicoreported that Bill Clinton complained throughout his wife’s campaign that it was too focused on its get-out-the-vote ground game and was not doing enough to solidify a larger message and outline a vision. And the Clinton slogan of “Stronger together” only really began to resonate late in the campaign, when controversy and divisiveness had become the order of the day.
When the candidates were most starkly juxtaposed – namely in the three debates –Clinton thrived, and she enjoyed a corresponding bump in the polls. She is at her best not when attacking Trump but rather talking about the policies that she and her team have hammered out after exhaustively assessing the available research. By most accounts Clinton has an excellent grasp of public policy as well as the details that make a plan feasible.
But media campaign coverage gave short shrift to the candidates’ actual policy proposals, instead getting sidetracked by scandals ranging from Clinton’s use of a private email server to inquiries into both of their foundations to Trump’s talk of grabbing women “by the p—y”.
Minimal coverage of policy issues
Since the start of 2016, presidential campaign coverage on ABC’s “World News Tonight”, the CBS “Evening News” and “NBC Nightly News” has contained just 32 minutes combined on policy issues, according to a recent study by the Tyndall Report, which has tracked the content of the major US nightly news programmes for decades.
ABC and NBC both racked up just 8 minutes of issue coverage while CBS offered 16 minutes.
“With just two weeks to go, issues coverage this year has been virtually non-existent,” Tyndall wrote. “Of the 32 minutes total, terrorism (17 mins) and foreign policy (7 mins) towards the Middle East (Israel-ISIS-Syria-Iraq) have attracted some attention. Gay rights, immigration and policing have been mentioned in passing.”
During the presidential election of 2012, the same three networks devoted 114 minutes to issues coverage.
This shortfall has inevitably helped Trump, who has demonstrated a weak mastery of policyissues. Trump’s campaign has posted just 15 policy proposals on its website. AP reported that there were 38 proposals on Clinton’s (ranging from Alzheimer’s to reforming Wall Street) and her campaign has said that it also released 65 policy fact sheets.
A separate report by the Harvard Kennedy School’s Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy found a similar dearth of issues-related content in its news analysis of two weeks of coverage before and after the Republican and Democratic national conventions. Just 8% of the coverage addressed policy issues.
Trump has “dominated coverage of the 2016 presidential election”, noted Harvard professor Tom Patterson, author of the Shorenstein Center report. “Journalists are drawn to story material that can catch and hold an audience’s attention. Trump meets that need as no other presidential nominee in memory. Trump’s politics of outrage and attack fits squarely with journalists’ story needs.”
Paterson acknowledged that Clinton’s more conventional candidacy doesn’t generate the catchy headlines. “[Unlike] Trump, she is not in most respects a steady source of fresh or remarkable stories,” he wrote.
Media’s focus on ‘sensational’ over ‘drab’
But in a contribution to the LA Times in September, Patterson called the media out for its lack of focus and for allowing Trump to define the narrative on Clinton’s policies.
“Not a single one of Clinton’s policy proposals accounted for even 1% of her convention-period coverage; collectively, her policy stands accounted for a mere 4% of it,” he wrote. “But she might be thankful for that: News reports about her stances were 71% negative to 29% positive in tone.”
Shockingly, “Trump was quoted more often about her policies than she was,” Patterson said. “Trump’s claim that Clinton ‘created ISIS’, for example, got more news attention than her announcement of how she would handle Islamic State.”
Despite their lack of policy coverage, Tyndall found that the CBS, ABC and NBC nightly newscasts allotted 100 minutes since the start of the year to reporting on Clinton’s use of a private email server while secretary of state, Media Matters reported.
“[Although] Clinton’s email issue was clearly deemed important by the media, relatively few stories provided background to help news consumers make sense of the issue – what harm was caused by her actions, or how common these actions are among elected officials,” Patterson wrote in the Shorenstein report.
“And in keeping with patterns noted earlier in the election cycle, coverage of policy and issues, although they were in the forefront at the conventions, continued to take a back seat to polls, projections, and scandal.”
Part of the trend toward the sensational is driven by the marketplace concerns of media outlets, the Shorenstein Center noted.
“Presidential candidates spend their time talking about their issues and qualifications, hoping that voters will find the pitch appealing enough to carry them to victory. Reporters see the campaign differently,” wrote Patterson. “They are on the lookout for compelling stories. That perspective leads them to favor what’s timely over what’s old, what’s novel over what’s predictable, what’s sensational over what’s drab, what’s negative over what’s positive.”
Whatever the final post-mortem on how a heavily favoured Clinton lost her bid for the White House, two things are already stunningly clear. First, even if the numbers say things are going relatively well, political campaigns ignore the frustrations of the economically disenfranchised at their own peril.
Second, the Fourth Estate is overdue for a round of soul-searching to determine whether – in the age of failing broadsheets and a race for clicks – the media are still performing the vital function of educating the public so that they can make informed decisions on the issues that will affect their future.
Mosul battle: IS hangs bodies of 40 civilians from poles in Iraqi city, UN says – http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-37949714
Trump: Obamacare key provisions to remain – http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-us-2016-37953528